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FUD á la carte



På analysefirmaet Gartner Group's hjemmeside er der følgende 
tre FUD's leveret af Microsoft (se selv disclaimer'er nederst på 
siderne).

Den første handler om Linux på Desktop - 10% sandsynlighed 
for at Linux slår Windows. Resten er at Linux fejler totalt eller 
nøjes med 5% af markedet:

http://www.gartner.com/webletter/microsoft/article3/article3.html

Den anden handler om Linux som server i enterprise-firmaer 
(eller er det som enterprise-servere). Her vurderes der 70% 
sandsynlighed for, at Linux ikke får nogen nævneværdig 
succes, når Microsofts første service release til Windows2000 
bliver frigivet i år 2H00 (gad vide hvilket talsystem de benytter).

Desuden måles succes i denne analyse i antallet af udgifter i 
forbindelse med serveren og altså ikke i udbredelsen.

http://www.gartner.com/webletter/microsoft/article5/article5.html

Den tredie omhandler Red Hat chancer for at blive en fiasko i 
krigen mod Microsoft (som om der kun er to deltagere). Man 
regner med 80% sandsynlighed for at Red Hat fejler (og ikke 
bliver en milliard dollar IT-firma i år 2004). Jeg tror dog heller 
ikke, at Red Hat bliver et monopol - men milliarden eller mere 
vil jeg dog vægte med 50%.

http://www.gartner.com/webletter/microsoft/article6/article6.html

At Gartner Group vil lægge navn og sider til sådan en gang 
Microsoft-korstog i mod Linux, synes jeg er meget uforståeligt. 
I mine øjne burde et analysefirma være så objektiv som mulig, 
hvilket man ikke er, hvis man giver spalteplads til dem man 
analysere uden at det KLART fremgår, at det ikke er firmaets 
egen analyse.

Både Gartner Group og Microsoft bliver her diskvalifiseret 
pga. urent trav.

Claus Sørensen         P L O M U S      Tlf:     44 66 24 16
Projektkoordinator    -------------     Fax:     44 66 25 16
Nøddelunden 110       professionelt     Email:  sslug@sslug
DK-2765 Smørum            Linux         Web:   www.plomus.dk



 
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